Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.000887 1.022396e-03 0.001160 0.001309 0.001466 0.001626 0.001800
2025-07-27 0.000711 9.061344e-04 0.001112 0.001343 0.001591 0.001850 0.002138
2025-08-03 0.000542 7.754326e-04 0.001031 0.001327 0.001654 0.002000 0.002391
2025-08-10 0.000369 6.176897e-04 0.000905 0.001249 0.001638 0.002059 0.002541
2025-08-17 0.000256 5.136824e-04 0.000828 0.001216 0.001667 0.002161 0.002734
2025-08-24 0.000148 3.938111e-04 0.000719 0.001138 0.001635 0.002190 0.002842
2025-08-31 0.000089 3.279132e-04 0.000669 0.001122 0.001673 0.002294 0.003029
2025-09-07 0.000054 2.873842e-04 0.000646 0.001138 0.001742 0.002432 0.003254
2025-09-14 0.000019 2.272706e-04 0.000589 0.001105 0.001752 0.002498 0.003394
2025-09-21 0.000006 2.010833e-04 0.000577 0.001127 0.001826 0.002637 0.003616
2025-09-28 0.000002 1.931342e-04 0.000591 0.001182 0.001939 0.002822 0.003889
2025-10-05 NaN 1.532561e-04 0.000550 0.001161 0.001956 0.002892 0.004029
2025-10-12 NaN 9.483468e-05 0.000477 0.001108 0.001953 0.002960 0.004196
2025-10-19 NaN 7.355025e-05 0.000465 0.001142 0.002060 0.003162 0.004521
2025-10-26 NaN 4.301755e-05 0.000424 0.001129 0.002107 0.003294 0.004766
2025-11-02 NaN 1.067595e-05 0.000348 0.001057 0.002074 0.003326 0.004894
2025-11-09 NaN 2.470785e-07 0.000303 0.001028 0.002094 0.003423 0.005095
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.000237 0.000955 0.002052 0.003439 0.005201
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.000209 0.000941 0.002088 0.003551 0.005419
2025-11-30 NaN NaN 0.000196 0.000956 0.002162 0.003710 0.005692
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.000163 0.000925 0.002171 0.003786 0.005864
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.000156 0.000946 0.002252 0.003952 0.006144
2025-12-21 NaN NaN 0.000164 0.000997 0.002377 0.004174 0.006490